气候变暖背景下青藏高原草本植物物候变化空间换时间预测

李雪莹, 朱文泉, 李培先, 谢志英, 赵涔良

Predicting phenology shifts of herbaceous plants on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau under climate warming with the space-for-time method

LI Xue-Ying, ZHU Wen-Quan, LI Pei-Xian, XIE Zhi-Ying, ZHAO Cen-Liang

表2 青藏高原年平均气温与海拔逐年回归分析建模结果

Table 2 Regression modeling results between mean annual air temperature and altitude across the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau

年份 Year	R²	a (℃·°^-1)	b (℃·°^-1)	c (℃·m^-1)	d
2002	0.90^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 7^*	88.4
2003	0.90^*	-0.2	-1.1^*	-0.006 3^*	83.8
2004	0.91^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 3^*	88.9
2005	0.91^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 6^*	91.3
2006	0.90^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 4^*	89.8
2007	0.91^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 7^*	95.8
2008	0.90^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 7^*	91.6
2009	0.90^*	-0.3	-1.2^*	-0.006 4^*	92.8
2010	0.91^*	-0.3	-1.1^*	-0.006 7^*	93.6
2011	0.89^*	-0.3	-1.1	-0.006 3^*	87.1