植物生态学报 ›› 1983, Vol. 7 ›› Issue (3): 222-229.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

甘肃省定西地区气象因子对春小麦产量影响的数学模型

周电辉   

  • 发布日期:1983-03-10
  • 通讯作者: 周电辉

A Preliminary Study on the Mathematical Model for Estimating the Effect of the Meteorological Factors on the Yield of Spring Wheat in the Dingxi Area of Gansu Province

Zhou Dianhui   

  • Published:1983-03-10
  • Contact: Li Deyong

摘要: 甘肃省中部干旱半干旱地区,影响春小麦产量的主要气象因子是降水量和蒸发量。本文探讨了气象因子与春小麦产量的联系。并建立了预报产量的数学模型:ŷ=w1ŷ1+w2ŷ2在一定的应用范围内,模型的正确性由二十年的历史资料得到验证,并成功地预报出定西1982年的春小麦产量。

Abstract: In the arid and semi-arid areas of middle part of Kansu province, the main meteorological factors affecting crop yield are precipitation and evaporation. This paper discussed the relationship between the meteorological factors and the yield of spring wheat of Dingxi Area, and worked out a mathematical model: ŷ=w1ŷ1+w2ŷ2. The accuracy of the model has been tested according to a vast amount of historical data. The scope of application of the model has been discussed. We have predicted successfully the yield of spring wheat got in 1982.