植物生态学报 ›› 1998, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (2): 97-118.

• 论文 •    下一篇

CO2浓度变化和气候变化对中国陆地生态系统净初级生产力及其平衡的影响(英文)

Xiao,Xiangming,,J.M.Melillo,,D.W.Kicklighter,,Y.Pan,,A.D.McGuire,and,J.Helfrich   

  • 发布日期:1998-02-10
  • 通讯作者: Xiao X

Net Primary Production of Terrestrial Ecosystems in China and its Equilibrium Responses to Changes in Climate and Atmospheric CO2 Concentration

Xiao Xiangming, J.M.Melillo, D.W.Kicklighter, Y.Pan, A.D.McGuire and J.Helfrich   

  • Published:1998-02-10
  • Contact: Liu Shaohui

摘要: 本文应用陆地生态系统模型(TEM,4.0)对中国陆地生态系统在目前气候下的净初级生产力,以及在CO2浓度增加和气候变化后的净初级生产力的变化进行了预测。气候变化模型采用三种大气环流模型生成,即:GISS、GFDL和OSU模型。在当前气候条件和CO2浓度(312.5×10-6)下,TEM模型预测中国陆地生态净初级生产力为3,653TgC·a-1(1012gC·a-1)。温带常绿阔叶林是生产力最高的生物区,占有中国净初级生产力的最大比例。NPP的空间格局主要与降水量和温度的空间分布相关联。 中国陆地生态系统的年净初级生产力对CO2浓度和气候的变化敏感。在陆地区域尺度上,其年净初级生产力仅在CO2浓度上升至519×10-6的情况下可增加6.0%(219TgC·a-1)。在气候变化而无CO2浓度变化的条件下,净初级生产力的响应在GISS气候方案下表现为1.5%(54.8TgC·a-1)的降低,在GFDL-q气候方案下表现为8.4%(306.9TgC·a-1)的增加。在气候和CO2浓度均发生变化的情况下,净初级生产力有较大程度的增加,在GISS气候方案下的增加比例为18.7%(683TgC·a-1),在GFDL-q气候方案下增加23.3%(851TgC·a-1)。在空间特征方面,年净初级生产力对气候和CO2浓度变化的响应方式在一个GCM气候方案下变化十分显著。由于三个大气环流模型的不同,使得净初级生产力地理分布的反应格局产生较大差异。CO2浓度升高和气候变化的耦合作用对中国陆地生态系统净初级生产力将产生重大影响。

Abstract: We used the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model(TEM, 4.0) to estimate net primary production (NPP) in China for contemporary climate and NPP responses to elevated CO2 and climate changes projected by three atmospheric general circulation models(GCMs): Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), Geophysical Fluid Dynamic Laboratory (GFDL) and Oregon State University (OSU). For contemporary climate at 312.5 × 10-6v CO2,TEM estimates that China has an annual NPP of 3,653 TgC·a-1(1012gC·a-1). Temperate evergreen broadleaf forest is the most productive biome and accounts for the largest portion of annual NPP in China, The spatial pattern of NPP is closely correlated to the spatial distributions of precipitation and temperature. Annual NPP of China is sensitive to changes in CO2 and climate. At the continental Scale, annual NPP of China increases by 6.0%(219TgC·a-1)for elevated CO2 only (519 ×10-6v CO2). For climate change with no change in CO2, the response of annual NPP ranges from a decrease of 1.5% (54.8TgC·a-1)for the GISS climate to an increase of 8.4% (306.9TgC·a-1) for the GFDL-q climate. For climate change at 519 Ï 10-6 v CO2, annual NPP of China increases substantially, ranging from+18.7% (683TgC·a-1) for the GISS climate to +23.3% (851 TgC·a-1) for the GFDL-q climate. Spatially, the responses of annual NPP to changes in climate and CO2 vary considerably within a GCM climate. Differences among the three GCM climates used in the study cause large differences in the geographical distribution of NPP responses to projected climate changes. The interaction between elevated CO2 and climate change plays an important role in the overall response of NPP to climate change at 519 × 10-6 v CO2.