植物生态学报 ›› 2002, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (1): 23-28.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

内蒙古高原东南部降水驱动的农业系统波动性分析

孙武,吴薇   

  • 发布日期:2002-01-10
  • 通讯作者: 孙 武

Analysis of the Fluctuation of the Agro-system Driven by Precipitation in the Southeast of Inner Mongolia Plateau

SUN Wu and WU Wei   

  • Published:2002-01-10
  • Contact: SUN Wu and WU Wei

摘要: 波动性是半干旱地区农业系统最显著的特征之一。在短尺度上,内蒙古高原东南部年降水和牲畜头数具有共同的准3年和准6年的波动周期。蛋白质和热量产量波动性的分布规律相似,表现在以坝上为中心向东、西和北三个方向递减。牲畜的绝对变化以二连浩特和集宁一线为界,东部波动性高于西部。全区粮食、热量和蛋白质产量比23%的降水变率放大1.5倍,牲畜头数的变率只有降水的60%,农业总产值与降水持平。在半农半牧区和牧区波动性的传递差异较大。牧区农业总产值的波动性只有降水的1/2,农牧交错带却放大到降水的1.6倍。降水和粮食产量对当年和翌年牲畜头数也存在一定的影响。

Abstract: The agro_system of a semi-arid belt is characterized by strong fluctuation. Based on the power spectra, precipitation and number of livestock only cycle in phase in three-year and six-year quasi-periods in the study area. The Cυ for the protein and calorie yield decreases east, north and west from the highest region of upland, which reflects the spatial fluctuation of the agro-system. The transfer of fluctuation of factors driven by rain is as follows: in the whole area the Cυ of yield for grain, calorie and protein is 1.5 times higher than 23% of rain, that for livestock accounts for only 60% of the rain, but the Cυ for the output value of agriculture maintaining the same level as rain is lower than that of the yields above. There is a spatial difference in Cυ between the north and the south. The Cυ of the output value of agriculture in the pastoral zone is only half that of the rain, but in the agro-pastoral interleaving zone it is 1.6 times higher than that of rain. The correlation analysis also shows that precipitation and grain output influence the change in livestock during both this and next year.