Chin J Plant Ecol ›› 2020, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (1): 44-55.DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2018.0258
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HU Wan1,*(),ZHANG Zhi-Yong1,CHEN Lu-Dan1,PENG Yan-Song1,WANG Xu2
Received:
2018-10-17
Revised:
2019-01-17
Online:
2020-01-20
Published:
2020-03-26
Contact:
HU Wan
Supported by:
HU Wan,ZHANG Zhi-Yong,CHEN Lu-Dan,PENG Yan-Song,WANG Xu. Changes in potential geographical distribution of Tsoongiodendron odorum since the Last Glacial Maximum[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2020, 44(1): 44-55.
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URL: https://www.plant-ecology.com/EN/10.17521/cjpe.2018.0258
气候变量 Variable | 描述 Description | PC (%) | PI (%) | RTGW | RTGO | TGW | TGO | AUCW | AUCO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
bio01 | 年平均气温 Annual mean temperature | 7.3 | 17.2 | 2.051 3 | 1.788 7 | 2.117 3 | 1.900 8 | 0.956 3 | 0.945 7 |
bio02 | 昼夜温差月均值 Mean diurnal range | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.075 3 | 1.358 2 | 2.129 2 | 1.445 2 | 0.956 6 | 0.899 9 |
bio03 | 等温性 Isothermality | 7.7 | 9.7 | 2.003 0 | 0.176 0 | 2.098 3 | 0.173 3 | 0.955 0 | 0.660 6 |
bio07 | 年平均气温变化范围 Temperature annual range | 2.8 | 25.7 | 2.054 8 | 1.409 5 | 2.105 1 | 1.503 7 | 0.955 4 | 0.904 9 |
bio10 | 最暖季平均气温 Mean temperature of warmest quarter | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.072 1 | 1.046 4 | 2.131 3 | 1.128 5 | 0.956 8 | 0.876 8 |
bio12 | 年降水量 Annual precipitation | 55.2 | 40.2 | 2.041 5 | 1.744 2 | 2.103 7 | 1.852 4 | 0.955 5 | 0.942 2 |
bio17 | 最干季降水量 Precipitation of driest quarter | 25 | 2.4 | 2.065 4 | 1.452 0 | 2.109 3 | 1.512 8 | 0.955 8 | 0.911 2 |
bio18 | 最暖季降水量 Precipitation of warmest quarter | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.061 3 | 1.463 5 | 2.128 3 | 1.590 2 | 0.957 0 | 0.922 9 |
Table 1 Environmental variables and their importance parameters used in distribution predicting of Tsoongiodendron odorum
气候变量 Variable | 描述 Description | PC (%) | PI (%) | RTGW | RTGO | TGW | TGO | AUCW | AUCO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
bio01 | 年平均气温 Annual mean temperature | 7.3 | 17.2 | 2.051 3 | 1.788 7 | 2.117 3 | 1.900 8 | 0.956 3 | 0.945 7 |
bio02 | 昼夜温差月均值 Mean diurnal range | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.075 3 | 1.358 2 | 2.129 2 | 1.445 2 | 0.956 6 | 0.899 9 |
bio03 | 等温性 Isothermality | 7.7 | 9.7 | 2.003 0 | 0.176 0 | 2.098 3 | 0.173 3 | 0.955 0 | 0.660 6 |
bio07 | 年平均气温变化范围 Temperature annual range | 2.8 | 25.7 | 2.054 8 | 1.409 5 | 2.105 1 | 1.503 7 | 0.955 4 | 0.904 9 |
bio10 | 最暖季平均气温 Mean temperature of warmest quarter | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.072 1 | 1.046 4 | 2.131 3 | 1.128 5 | 0.956 8 | 0.876 8 |
bio12 | 年降水量 Annual precipitation | 55.2 | 40.2 | 2.041 5 | 1.744 2 | 2.103 7 | 1.852 4 | 0.955 5 | 0.942 2 |
bio17 | 最干季降水量 Precipitation of driest quarter | 25 | 2.4 | 2.065 4 | 1.452 0 | 2.109 3 | 1.512 8 | 0.955 8 | 0.911 2 |
bio18 | 最暖季降水量 Precipitation of warmest quarter | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.061 3 | 1.463 5 | 2.128 3 | 1.590 2 | 0.957 0 | 0.922 9 |
Fig. 2 Major distribution changes of Tsoongiodendron odorum between different periods simulated by MaxEnt. A, Distribution changes from the Last Glacial Maximum to Mid-Holocene. B, Distribution changes from the Mid-Holocene to Current. C, Distribution changes from the current to the future. D, Summed distributions and micro-endemism during the four periods (Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene, current and future). E, Core range shifts and the line densities, white dots represent the Last Glacial Maximum centroid, black dots represent Mid-Holocene centroid, red dots represent current centroid, blue dots represent future centroid, black arrow represent centroid change.
气候 变量Variable | 不适生 Unsuitable | 低度适生 Marginally suitable | 中度适生 Moderately suitable | 高度适生 Highly suitable | 单位 Unit | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | ||
bio01 | -4.32-1.97 | 4.01 | 7.14 | 4.51-4.58 | 16.32 | 2.02 | 11.13-25.73 | 19.14 | 2.40 | 16.26-24.65 | 20.46 | 1.50 | ℃ |
bio02 | 2.82-0.03 | 12.68 | 2.27 | 4.77-3.82 | 8.07 | 0.99 | 4.07-11.91 | 7.90 | 0.78 | 4.10-9.83 | 8.22 | 0.63 | ℃ |
bio03 | 10.70-0.88 | 30.45 | 5.67 | 20.57-52.24 | 30.75 | 7.60 | 21.91-48.50 | 31.91 | 4.36 | 25.93-39.94 | 32.81 | 2.31 | % |
bio07 | 14.27-5.81 | 42.49 | 8.77 | 12.24-34.58 | 27.10 | 4.35 | 12.50-33.57 | 25.16 | 4.11 | 11.07-31.08 | 25.14 | 2.51 | ℃ |
bio10 | -2.36-1.62 | 16.87 | 7.85 | 10.26-28.62 | 24.38 | 2.67 | 15.56-29.28 | 26.32 | 1.90 | 20.89-29.28 | 27.52 | 0.97 | ℃ |
bio12 | 11.00-434.00 | 398.05 | 310.96 | 735.00-4 242.19 | 1 350.65 | 297.42 | 1 017.00-3 501.00 | 1 589.85 | 238.43 | 1 255.00-3 440.00 | 1 680.38 | 241.75 | mm |
bio17 | 0.00-15.00 | 16.00 | 23.36 | 14.00-352.00 | 95.89 | 53.68 | 26.00-723.00 | 121.32 | 44.74 | 41.00-764.00 | 137.18 | 56.30 | mm |
bio18 | 7.00-379.00 | 227.01 | 157.58 | 327.00-2 661.00 | 593.69 | 178.19 | 341.00-1 778.00 | 660.68 | 174.06 | 410.00-1 191.00 | 650.07 | 126.15 | mm |
Table 2 Statistics of the eight environmental variables in each of the current suitable areas for Tsoongiodendron odorum
气候 变量Variable | 不适生 Unsuitable | 低度适生 Marginally suitable | 中度适生 Moderately suitable | 高度适生 Highly suitable | 单位 Unit | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | 范围 Range | 平均值 Mean | 标准偏 差 SD | ||
bio01 | -4.32-1.97 | 4.01 | 7.14 | 4.51-4.58 | 16.32 | 2.02 | 11.13-25.73 | 19.14 | 2.40 | 16.26-24.65 | 20.46 | 1.50 | ℃ |
bio02 | 2.82-0.03 | 12.68 | 2.27 | 4.77-3.82 | 8.07 | 0.99 | 4.07-11.91 | 7.90 | 0.78 | 4.10-9.83 | 8.22 | 0.63 | ℃ |
bio03 | 10.70-0.88 | 30.45 | 5.67 | 20.57-52.24 | 30.75 | 7.60 | 21.91-48.50 | 31.91 | 4.36 | 25.93-39.94 | 32.81 | 2.31 | % |
bio07 | 14.27-5.81 | 42.49 | 8.77 | 12.24-34.58 | 27.10 | 4.35 | 12.50-33.57 | 25.16 | 4.11 | 11.07-31.08 | 25.14 | 2.51 | ℃ |
bio10 | -2.36-1.62 | 16.87 | 7.85 | 10.26-28.62 | 24.38 | 2.67 | 15.56-29.28 | 26.32 | 1.90 | 20.89-29.28 | 27.52 | 0.97 | ℃ |
bio12 | 11.00-434.00 | 398.05 | 310.96 | 735.00-4 242.19 | 1 350.65 | 297.42 | 1 017.00-3 501.00 | 1 589.85 | 238.43 | 1 255.00-3 440.00 | 1 680.38 | 241.75 | mm |
bio17 | 0.00-15.00 | 16.00 | 23.36 | 14.00-352.00 | 95.89 | 53.68 | 26.00-723.00 | 121.32 | 44.74 | 41.00-764.00 | 137.18 | 56.30 | mm |
bio18 | 7.00-379.00 | 227.01 | 157.58 | 327.00-2 661.00 | 593.69 | 178.19 | 341.00-1 778.00 | 660.68 | 174.06 | 410.00-1 191.00 | 650.07 | 126.15 | mm |
时期 Period | 年平均气温 Annual mean temperature (℃) | 年降水量 Annual precipitation (mm) | 各适生区面积(现代相比面积变化的百分比%) Area of each suitable region (the percentage change in area compared with current, %) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
低度适生区 Marginally suitable region | 中度适生区 Moderately suitable region | 高度适生区 Highly suitable region | 总适生区 Total suitable region | |||
LGM | 16.7 | 1 589.7 | 64.01 (-14.84) | 52.21 (-7.87) | 16.16 (-4.57) | 132.38 (-11.02) |
Mid | 20.1 | 1 741.3 | 66.93 (-10.96) | 51.38 (-9.33) | 14.32 (-15.40) | 132.64 (-10.85) |
Future | 23.1 | 1 831.7 | 54.73 (-27.19) | 50.43 (-11.01) | 13.74 (-18.84) | 118.91 (-20.07) |
Current | 20.5 | 1 680.4 | 75.17 (0.00) | 56.67 (0.00) | 16.93 (0.00) | 148.77 (0.00) |
Table 3 Characteristics of potential distribution in different periods for Tsoongiodendron odorum
时期 Period | 年平均气温 Annual mean temperature (℃) | 年降水量 Annual precipitation (mm) | 各适生区面积(现代相比面积变化的百分比%) Area of each suitable region (the percentage change in area compared with current, %) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
低度适生区 Marginally suitable region | 中度适生区 Moderately suitable region | 高度适生区 Highly suitable region | 总适生区 Total suitable region | |||
LGM | 16.7 | 1 589.7 | 64.01 (-14.84) | 52.21 (-7.87) | 16.16 (-4.57) | 132.38 (-11.02) |
Mid | 20.1 | 1 741.3 | 66.93 (-10.96) | 51.38 (-9.33) | 14.32 (-15.40) | 132.64 (-10.85) |
Future | 23.1 | 1 831.7 | 54.73 (-27.19) | 50.43 (-11.01) | 13.74 (-18.84) | 118.91 (-20.07) |
Current | 20.5 | 1 680.4 | 75.17 (0.00) | 56.67 (0.00) | 16.93 (0.00) | 148.77 (0.00) |
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