植物生态学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (7): 766-774.DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0406
收稿日期:
2021-11-11
接受日期:
2021-12-28
出版日期:
2022-07-20
发布日期:
2022-06-09
通讯作者:
马松梅
作者简介:
* 马松梅: ORCID: 0000-0002-3107-2256 (shzmsm@126.com)基金资助:
YAN Han1, MA Song-Mei1,*(), WEI Bo2, ZHANG Hong-Xiang3, ZHANG Dan1
Received:
2021-11-11
Accepted:
2021-12-28
Online:
2022-07-20
Published:
2022-06-09
Contact:
MA Song-Mei
Supported by:
摘要:
为了解历史气候变化背景下分布于中国西北干旱沙漠、半干旱沙地和山地地区的孑遗灌木植物长柄扁桃(Amygdalus pedunculata)的分布与演化, 该研究利用长柄扁桃60个自然分布点和8个环境因子, 整合GIS空间分析和最大熵模型(MaxEnt), 分析珍稀濒危保护物种长柄扁桃末次间冰期(LIG)、末次盛冰期(LGM)和当前的历史地理分布格局变化及其环境驱动力。基于各时期长柄扁桃的分布模型模拟数据及自然种群的叶绿体基因测序数据, 利用最小成本路径方法, 模拟LIG时期以来长柄扁桃可能的扩散路径。利用R语言“ggbiplot”程序包对各时期长柄扁桃适生区的历史环境变量进行主成分分析(PCA), 分析影响长柄扁桃历史分布格局变化的关键气候因子。结果表明: (1) LIG时期以来, 长柄扁桃的历史分布经历了显著收缩和末次盛冰期后的扩张, LIG至LGM时期, 分布于库布齐沙漠东部、毛乌素沙地北部、陕西北部、阴山北部、乌兰察布高原南部、浑善达克沙地的适宜分布区明显收缩; LGM时期至今, 长柄扁桃在库布齐沙漠东部、毛乌素沙地中部沿北部阴山向东, 以及浑善达克沙地西部均发生了显著扩张。3个时期长柄扁桃均在内蒙古高原中西部存在高度适宜性分布区, 包括毛乌素沙地北缘、库布齐沙漠东缘以及大青山, 这些地区很可能是长柄扁桃的冰期避难所。北部阴山和毛乌素沙地边缘是长柄扁桃种群迁移过程中重要的扩散廊道; (2) LIG至LGM时期, 气温因子: 最冷月最低气温、平均气温日较差和最热月最高气温均呈显著下降的趋势, 冷干气候对长柄扁桃的冰期分布存在较大限制, 适生区显著收缩。而LGM时期至今, 降水因子最湿月降水量和降水量季节性均显著上升, 长柄扁桃在库布齐沙漠东部、毛乌素沙地中部、阴山以及浑善达克沙地西部发生显著扩张, 降水因子也是影响当前适宜分布区的关键限制性因子。
闫涵, 马松梅, 魏博, 张宏祥, 张丹. 孑遗灌木长柄扁桃的历史分布格局及其环境驱动力. 植物生态学报, 2022, 46(7): 766-774. DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0406
YAN Han, MA Song-Mei, WEI Bo, ZHANG Hong-Xiang, ZHANG Dan. Historical distribution patterns and environmental drivers of relict shrub Amygdalus pedunculata. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2022, 46(7): 766-774. DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0406
图1 不同时段长柄扁桃分布模型的模拟精度(平均值±标准误)。AUC, 接收工作机特征曲线下的面积; LGM, 末次盛冰期; LIG, 末次间冰期; Present, 当前。
Fig. 1 Simulation accuracy of Amygdalus pedunculata distribution model in different periods (mean ± SE). AUC, area under the curve of receiver operator characteristic curve; LGM, the Last Glacial Maximum; LIG, the Last Inter Glacial.
图2 末次间冰期(LIG)以来长柄扁桃的历史分布变化(A, B)及质心迁移路径(C)。不同颜色圆点表示不同时期适生区的质心, 箭头表示各时段间质心的迁移方向。LGM, 末次盛冰期; Present, 当前。
Fig. 2 Historical distribution changes (A, B) and centroid migration paths (C) of Amygdalus pedunculata since the Last Inter Glacial (LIG). Dots with different colors indicate the centroid of suitable areas in different periods, and arrows indicate the migration direction of centroid in different periods. LGM, the Last Glacial Maximum.
适生等级 Suitable grade | 模拟时期 Simulation periods | ||
---|---|---|---|
末次间冰期 LIG | 末次盛冰期 LGM | 当前 Present | |
高度适生区面积(×10 000 km2) Highly suitable distribution areas | 3.55 | 1.19 | 6.42 |
适生区面积(×10 000 km2) Suitable distribution areas | 6.33 | 2.31 | 14.85 |
表1 不同时期西北地区长柄扁桃的适生面积
Table 1 Suitable area of Amygdalus pedunculata in northwest China in different periods
适生等级 Suitable grade | 模拟时期 Simulation periods | ||
---|---|---|---|
末次间冰期 LIG | 末次盛冰期 LGM | 当前 Present | |
高度适生区面积(×10 000 km2) Highly suitable distribution areas | 3.55 | 1.19 | 6.42 |
适生区面积(×10 000 km2) Suitable distribution areas | 6.33 | 2.31 | 14.85 |
图3 不同时期长柄扁桃的扩散迁移路线。LGM, 末次盛冰期; LIG, 末次间冰期; Present, 当前。
Fig. 3 Dispersal routes of Amygdalus pedunculata in different periods. LGM, the Last Glacial Maximum; LIG, the Last Inter Glacial.
图4 不同时期长柄扁桃已知分布点的气候波动。LGM, 末次盛冰期; LIG, 末次间冰期; Present, 当前。
Fig. 4 Climatic fluctuation of the known distribution points of Amygdalus pedunculata in different periods. LGM, the Last Glacial Maximum; LIG, the Last Inter Glacial.
图5 不同时期影响长柄扁桃分布的8个关键气候变量的主成分分析(PCA)。Bio2, 平均气温日较差; Bio3, 等温性; Bio5, 最热月最高气温; Bio6, 最冷月最低气温; Bio7, 平均气温年较差; Bio13, 最湿月降水量; Bio14, 最干月降水量; Bio15, 降水量季节性。LGM, 末次盛冰期; LIG, 末次间冰期; Present, 当前。
Fig. 5 Pricipal component analysis (PCA) of eight key climatic variables affecting the distribution of Amygdalus pedunculata in different periods. Bio2, annual mean diurnal range; Bio3, isothermality; Bio5, max temperature of warmest month; Bio6, min temperature of coldest month; Bio7, annual temperature range; Bio13, precipitation of wettest month; Bio14, precipitation of driest month; Bio15, precipitation seasonality. LGM, the Last Glacial Maximum; LIG, the Last Inter Glacial.
气候因子 Climatic factor | LIG-LGM | LGM-Present | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC1 | PC2 | PC3 | PC4 | PC5 | PC1 | PC2 | PC3 | PC4 | PC5 | |
Bio2 | 0.093 | 0.460 | 0.730 | 0.428 | 0.052 | 0.521 | 0.138 | 0.086 | 0.122 | 0.090 |
Bio3 | 0.404 | 0.362 | -0.066 | 0.061 | 0.122 | 0.108 | 0.452 | 0.093 | -0.638 | -0.452 |
Bio5 | -0.436 | 0.171 | 0.136 | -0.120 | -0.075 | 0.448 | 0.161 | 0.048 | 0.131 | 0.081 |
Bio6 | -0.187 | 0.695 | -0.181 | -0.479 | 0.086 | -0.456 | -0.042 | -0.130 | -0.111 | -0.126 |
Bio7 | -0.410 | -0.237 | 0.280 | 0.160 | -0.146 | 0.456 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.121 | 0.108 |
Bio13 | -0.284 | 0.194 | -0.537 | 0.709 | 0.278 | -0.293 | 0.605 | 0.066 | -0.089 | 0.786 |
Bio14 | 0.416 | 0.128 | -0.200 | 0.196 | -0.725 | -0.255 | 0.151 | 0.846 | 0.381 | -0.226 |
Bio15 | -0.425 | 0.188 | -0.069 | 0.050 | -0.588 | -0.129 | 0.533 | -0.486 | 0.617 | -0.293 |
表2 影响长柄扁桃分布点不同时段气候波动的因子的主成分特征值
Table 2 Characteristic values of principal components that affecting the climate fluctuation at distribution points of Amygdalus pedunculata in different periods
气候因子 Climatic factor | LIG-LGM | LGM-Present | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC1 | PC2 | PC3 | PC4 | PC5 | PC1 | PC2 | PC3 | PC4 | PC5 | |
Bio2 | 0.093 | 0.460 | 0.730 | 0.428 | 0.052 | 0.521 | 0.138 | 0.086 | 0.122 | 0.090 |
Bio3 | 0.404 | 0.362 | -0.066 | 0.061 | 0.122 | 0.108 | 0.452 | 0.093 | -0.638 | -0.452 |
Bio5 | -0.436 | 0.171 | 0.136 | -0.120 | -0.075 | 0.448 | 0.161 | 0.048 | 0.131 | 0.081 |
Bio6 | -0.187 | 0.695 | -0.181 | -0.479 | 0.086 | -0.456 | -0.042 | -0.130 | -0.111 | -0.126 |
Bio7 | -0.410 | -0.237 | 0.280 | 0.160 | -0.146 | 0.456 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.121 | 0.108 |
Bio13 | -0.284 | 0.194 | -0.537 | 0.709 | 0.278 | -0.293 | 0.605 | 0.066 | -0.089 | 0.786 |
Bio14 | 0.416 | 0.128 | -0.200 | 0.196 | -0.725 | -0.255 | 0.151 | 0.846 | 0.381 | -0.226 |
Bio15 | -0.425 | 0.188 | -0.069 | 0.050 | -0.588 | -0.129 | 0.533 | -0.486 | 0.617 | -0.293 |
气候因子 Climate factor | 贡献率百分比 Contribution percentage (%) | 适宜区间 Suitable range |
---|---|---|
最湿月降水量 Precipitation of wettest month (Bio13) (mm) | 38.5 | 3-199 |
平均气温年较差 Annual temperature range (Bio7) (℃) | 16.9 | 27-63 |
降水量季节性 Precipitation seasonality (Bio15) | 14.8 | 23-138 |
最冷月最低气温 Min temperature of coldest month (Bio6) (℃) | 11.8 | -38- -1 |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (Bio14) (mm) | 6.8 | 0-20 |
等温性 Isothermality (Bio3) | 5.5 | 13-42 |
最热月最高气温 Max temperature of warmest month (Bio5) (℃) | 3.4 | -6-39 |
平均气温日较差 Annual mean diurnal range (Bio2) (℃) | 2.2 | 4-20 |
表3 当前气候情景下各气候因子对长柄扁桃分布的贡献率及其适宜性区间
Table 3 Contribution rate and suitable range of each climate factor to distribution of Amygdalus pedunculata under present climate
气候因子 Climate factor | 贡献率百分比 Contribution percentage (%) | 适宜区间 Suitable range |
---|---|---|
最湿月降水量 Precipitation of wettest month (Bio13) (mm) | 38.5 | 3-199 |
平均气温年较差 Annual temperature range (Bio7) (℃) | 16.9 | 27-63 |
降水量季节性 Precipitation seasonality (Bio15) | 14.8 | 23-138 |
最冷月最低气温 Min temperature of coldest month (Bio6) (℃) | 11.8 | -38- -1 |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (Bio14) (mm) | 6.8 | 0-20 |
等温性 Isothermality (Bio3) | 5.5 | 13-42 |
最热月最高气温 Max temperature of warmest month (Bio5) (℃) | 3.4 | -6-39 |
平均气温日较差 Annual mean diurnal range (Bio2) (℃) | 2.2 | 4-20 |
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