Chin J Plant Ecol ›› 2012, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (12): 1217-1225.DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1258.2012.01217
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ZHONG Shu-Ying, GE Quan-Sheng*(), ZHENG Jing-Yun, DAI Jun-Hu, WANG Huan-Jiong
Received:
2012-09-13
Accepted:
2012-09-03
Online:
2012-09-13
Published:
2012-11-28
Contact:
GE Quan-Sheng
ZHONG Shu-Ying, GE Quan-Sheng, ZHENG Jing-Yun, DAI Jun-Hu, WANG Huan-Jiong. Changes of main phenophases of natural calendar and phenological seasons in Beijing for the last 30 years[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2012, 36(12): 1217-1225.
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URL: https://www.plant-ecology.com/EN/10.3724/SP.J.1258.2012.01217
季节 Season | 季节开始日期物候指标 Phenological indicator of the first date of season | 自然历 Natural calendar | 开始日期(月-日) The first date (month-day) | 结束日期(月-日) The end date (month-day) | 季节长度 Season length (d) | TNC与ONC长度的差值1) Different days between length of TNC and length of ONC (d)1) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | ONC | 3-8 | 5-8 | 62 | -3 |
昆明湖全解冻 P1 | TNC | 3-6 | 5-3 | 59 | ||
夏季 Summer | 刺槐盛花 P19 | ONC | 5-9 | 9-26 | 141 | 6 |
刺槐盛花 P19 | TNC | 5-4 | 9-27 | 147 | ||
秋季 Autumn | 野菊始花 P27 | ONC | 9-27 | 10-26 | 30 | 3 |
野菊始花 P27 | TNC | 9-28 | 10-30 | 33 | ||
冬季 Winter | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | ONC | 10-27 | 3-7 | 132 | -6 |
色木槭叶全变色 P37 | TNC | 10-31 | 3-5 | 126 |
Table 1 Division of phenological season in Beijing
季节 Season | 季节开始日期物候指标 Phenological indicator of the first date of season | 自然历 Natural calendar | 开始日期(月-日) The first date (month-day) | 结束日期(月-日) The end date (month-day) | 季节长度 Season length (d) | TNC与ONC长度的差值1) Different days between length of TNC and length of ONC (d)1) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | ONC | 3-8 | 5-8 | 62 | -3 |
昆明湖全解冻 P1 | TNC | 3-6 | 5-3 | 59 | ||
夏季 Summer | 刺槐盛花 P19 | ONC | 5-9 | 9-26 | 141 | 6 |
刺槐盛花 P19 | TNC | 5-4 | 9-27 | 147 | ||
秋季 Autumn | 野菊始花 P27 | ONC | 9-27 | 10-26 | 30 | 3 |
野菊始花 P27 | TNC | 9-28 | 10-30 | 33 | ||
冬季 Winter | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | ONC | 10-27 | 3-7 | 132 | -6 |
色木槭叶全变色 P37 | TNC | 10-31 | 3-5 | 126 |
次序 Order | 物候期 Phenophase | 观测年数 Year of observation | 平均日期(月-日) Average date (month-day) | 与原自然历平均日期的差异天数1) Difference in average date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最早日期(月-日) Earliest date (month-day) | 与原自然历最早日期的差异天数1) Difference in earliest date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最早物候期所在 年份 Year with the earliest phenophase | 最晚日期 (月-日) Latest date (month-day) | 与原自然历最晚日期的差异天数1) Difference in latest date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最晚物候期所在年份 Year with the latest phenophase | 变幅 Amplitude of vari- ation (d) | 次序变化情况Change of order |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | 19 | 3-6 | -2 | 2-19 | -8 | 2007 | 3-24 | 9 | 1988 | 33 | NC |
2 | 山桃芽开放期 P2 | 25 | 3-7 | -1 | 2-21 | -4 | 1992 | 3-23 | 9 | 1984 | 30 | NC |
3 | 毛白杨始花 P3 | 27 | 3-15 | -7 | 2-27 | -15 | 2002 | 3-30 | 1 | 1985 | 31 | C |
4 | 杏芽开放期 P4 | 25 | 3-20 | -1 | 3-7 | -2 | 2002 | 4-4 | 5 | 1988, 1993 | 28 | C |
5 | 山桃始花 P5 | 27 | 3-21 | -6 | 3-6 | -14 | 2002 | 4-4 | 0 | 1984, 1985 | 29 | NC |
6 | 旱柳开始展叶 P6 | 26 | 3-27 | -8 | 3-12 | -8 | 2002 | 4-13 | -13 | 1987 | 32 | C |
7 | 玉兰始花 P7 | 27 | 3-28 | -7 | 3-3 | -22 | 2003 | 4-11 | -4 | 1984 | 39 | NC |
8 | 连翘始花 P8 | 19 | 3-28 | -6 | 3-10 | -20 | 2002 | 4-11 | 6 | 1984, 1987 | 32 | C |
9 | 旱柳始花 P9 | 27 | 4-1 | -4 | 3-14 | -14 | 2002 | 4-14 | -6 | 1985, 1988 | 31 | NC |
10 | 杏树始花 P10 | 27 | 4-3 | -3 | 3-17 | -14 | 2002 | 4-13 | -1 | 1985 | 27 | NC |
11 | 旱柳展叶盛期 P11 | 26 | 4-3 | -11 | 3-14 | -15 | 2002 | 4-19 | -2 | 1991 | 27 | C |
12 | 紫丁香展叶盛期 P12 | 25 | 4-4 | -11 | 3-17 | -18 | 2002 | 4-16 | -5 | 1987 | 36 | C |
13 | 紫丁香始花 P13 | 25 | 4-9 | -5 | 3-27 | -11 | 2002 | 4-19 | -8 | 1996 | 30 | C |
14 | 色木槭始花 P14 | 26 | 4-11 | -6 | 3-27 | -14 | 2002 | 4-25 | -1 | 2010 | 23 | NC |
15 | 枣树芽开放 P15 | 17 | 4-14 | -9 | 3-16 | -26 | 2002 | 4-28 | -7 | 1985, 1988 | 29 | NC |
16 | 黄栌始花 P16 | 18 | 4-19 | -8 | 3-30 | -20 | 1984 | 5-2 | -4 | 1987 | 43 | NC |
17 | 旱柳飞絮 P17 | 12 | 4-21 | -9 | 4-14 | -10 | 1995, 2002 | 5-4 | -5 | 1987 | 33 | NC |
18 | 刺槐始花 P18 | 26 | 5-1 | -5 | 4-21 | -8 | 2004 | 5-16 | 0 | 1991 | 20 | NC |
19 | 刺槐盛花 P19 | 26 | 5-4 | -5 | 4-23 | -9 | 2010 | 5-18 | -1 | 1984 | 25 | NC |
20 | 柿始花 P20 | 24 | 5-14 | -2 | 5-6 | -3 | 2002 | 5-23 | -3 | 2010 | 25 | NC |
21 | 枣树始花 P21 | 17 | 5-25 | -3 | 5-20 | 2 | 2004 | 6-7 | 2 | 1991 | 17 | NC |
22 | 栾树始花 P22 | 18 | 6-2 | -2 | 5-26 | 2 | 2005, 2007 | 6-11 | 0 | 1984, 1985 | 18 | NC |
23 | 梧桐始花 P23 | 23 | 6-21 | -3 | 6-9 | -2 | 1993 | 7-4 | -3 | 1988 | 16 | NC |
24 | 紫薇始花 P24 | 22 | 7-5 | -8 | 6-3 | -31 | 2003 | 7-21 | 0 | 1987 | 25 | NC |
25 | 荷花盛花 P25 | 18 | 7-14 | -1 | 6-29 | -12 | 2004 | 7-26 | -15 | 1982 | 48 | NC |
26 | 荷花开花末期 P26 | 17 | 8-19 | -1 | 7-23 | -3 | 1985 | 8-30 | -28 | 2010 | 27 | NC |
27 | 野菊始花 P27 | 18 | 9-28 | 1 | 9-22 | 9 | 2003 | 10-7 | 4 | 1991 | 38 | NC |
28 | 白蜡树叶始变色 P28 | 25 | 9-29 | 4 | 9-12 | -6 | 1986 | 10-16 | 12 | 2010 | 15 | NC |
29 | 黄栌叶始变色 P29 | 17 | 10-12 | 1 | 9-25 | -4 | 1987 | 10-30 | -2 | 2010 | 33 | C |
30 | 枣叶始变色 P30 | 15 | 10-12 | 6 | 9-13 | -10 | 1985 | 10-24 | 1 | 2010 | 35 | NC |
31 | 色木槭叶始变色 P31 | 24 | 10-15 | 11 | 10-2 | 19 | 2003 | 10-26 | 11 | 2007 | 40 | C |
32 | 柿叶始变色 P32 | 24 | 10-16 | 17 | 10-3 | 21 | 1986 | 11-3 | 23 | 2005 | 24 | C |
33 | 紫丁香叶始变色 P33 | 23 | 10-16 | 10 | 9-30 | 16 | 1987 | 11-1 | 10 | 2008 | 31 | C |
34 | 白蜡树叶全变色 P34 | 24 | 10-20 | 4 | 10-10 | 10 | 1997 | 11-1 | 5 | 2006 | 32 | NC |
35 | 旱柳叶始变色 P35 | 25 | 10-28 | 5 | 10-20 | 30 | 1983 | 11-18 | 13 | 1987 | 22 | NC |
36 | 黄栌叶全变色 P36 | 18 | 10-27 | 2 | 10-20 | 11 | 2009 | 11-5 | -3 | 2006 | 29 | NC |
37 | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | 23 | 10-31 | 4 | 10-22 | 12 | 1985 | 11-12 | 10 | 2009 | 16 | NC |
38 | 白蜡树叶全落 P38 | 23 | 11-3 | 1 | 10-26 | 6 | 1986 | 11-14 | -1 | 2006 | 21 | NC |
39 | 梧桐叶全落 P39 | 23 | 11-9 | 0 | 10-30 | 0 | 1995, 1996 | 11-25 | -1 | 1992 | 17 | NC |
40 | 野菊普遍黄枯 P40 | 5 | 11-12 | 0 | 11-4 | 1 | 1986 | 11-21 | 2 | 1988 | 19 | C |
41 | 昆明湖开始结冰 P41 | 6 | 11-13 | -4 | 11-1 | 8 | 2009 | 11-20 | -13 | 1984, 1987 | 26 | C |
42 | 色木槭叶全落 P42 | 23 | 11-14 | 5 | 11-3 | 7 | 1993 | 12-1 | 9 | 2009 | 19 | C |
43 | 杏叶全落 P43 | 24 | 11-16 | 1 | 11-7 | 0 | 1996 | 11-28 | 7 | 2006 | 28 | C |
44 | 毛白杨叶全落 P44 | 22 | 11-19 | 0 | 11-7 | -1 | 1986 | 12-11 | 10 | 1992 | 21 | NC |
45 | 昆明湖完全封冻 P45 | 11 | 11-26 | -6 | 11-3 | -16 | 2009 | 12-15 | -4 | 2004 | 34 | C |
46 | 旱柳叶全落 P46 | 22 | 12-1 | 1 | 11-21 | -2 | 1983 | 12-10 | 1 | 2009 | 42 | C |
47 | 榆树芽开放 P47 | 12 | 2-26 | -2 | 2-13 | -5 | 2007 | 3-9 | -4 | 1981 | 19 | NC |
48 | 毛白杨芽开放 P48 | 26 | 3-2 | -5 | 2-10 | -19 | 2007 | 3-29 | 17 | 1984 | 47 | NC |
Table 2 Natural calendar in Beijing (1981-2010)
次序 Order | 物候期 Phenophase | 观测年数 Year of observation | 平均日期(月-日) Average date (month-day) | 与原自然历平均日期的差异天数1) Difference in average date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最早日期(月-日) Earliest date (month-day) | 与原自然历最早日期的差异天数1) Difference in earliest date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最早物候期所在 年份 Year with the earliest phenophase | 最晚日期 (月-日) Latest date (month-day) | 与原自然历最晚日期的差异天数1) Difference in latest date compared with original natural calendar1) (d) | 最晚物候期所在年份 Year with the latest phenophase | 变幅 Amplitude of vari- ation (d) | 次序变化情况Change of order |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | 19 | 3-6 | -2 | 2-19 | -8 | 2007 | 3-24 | 9 | 1988 | 33 | NC |
2 | 山桃芽开放期 P2 | 25 | 3-7 | -1 | 2-21 | -4 | 1992 | 3-23 | 9 | 1984 | 30 | NC |
3 | 毛白杨始花 P3 | 27 | 3-15 | -7 | 2-27 | -15 | 2002 | 3-30 | 1 | 1985 | 31 | C |
4 | 杏芽开放期 P4 | 25 | 3-20 | -1 | 3-7 | -2 | 2002 | 4-4 | 5 | 1988, 1993 | 28 | C |
5 | 山桃始花 P5 | 27 | 3-21 | -6 | 3-6 | -14 | 2002 | 4-4 | 0 | 1984, 1985 | 29 | NC |
6 | 旱柳开始展叶 P6 | 26 | 3-27 | -8 | 3-12 | -8 | 2002 | 4-13 | -13 | 1987 | 32 | C |
7 | 玉兰始花 P7 | 27 | 3-28 | -7 | 3-3 | -22 | 2003 | 4-11 | -4 | 1984 | 39 | NC |
8 | 连翘始花 P8 | 19 | 3-28 | -6 | 3-10 | -20 | 2002 | 4-11 | 6 | 1984, 1987 | 32 | C |
9 | 旱柳始花 P9 | 27 | 4-1 | -4 | 3-14 | -14 | 2002 | 4-14 | -6 | 1985, 1988 | 31 | NC |
10 | 杏树始花 P10 | 27 | 4-3 | -3 | 3-17 | -14 | 2002 | 4-13 | -1 | 1985 | 27 | NC |
11 | 旱柳展叶盛期 P11 | 26 | 4-3 | -11 | 3-14 | -15 | 2002 | 4-19 | -2 | 1991 | 27 | C |
12 | 紫丁香展叶盛期 P12 | 25 | 4-4 | -11 | 3-17 | -18 | 2002 | 4-16 | -5 | 1987 | 36 | C |
13 | 紫丁香始花 P13 | 25 | 4-9 | -5 | 3-27 | -11 | 2002 | 4-19 | -8 | 1996 | 30 | C |
14 | 色木槭始花 P14 | 26 | 4-11 | -6 | 3-27 | -14 | 2002 | 4-25 | -1 | 2010 | 23 | NC |
15 | 枣树芽开放 P15 | 17 | 4-14 | -9 | 3-16 | -26 | 2002 | 4-28 | -7 | 1985, 1988 | 29 | NC |
16 | 黄栌始花 P16 | 18 | 4-19 | -8 | 3-30 | -20 | 1984 | 5-2 | -4 | 1987 | 43 | NC |
17 | 旱柳飞絮 P17 | 12 | 4-21 | -9 | 4-14 | -10 | 1995, 2002 | 5-4 | -5 | 1987 | 33 | NC |
18 | 刺槐始花 P18 | 26 | 5-1 | -5 | 4-21 | -8 | 2004 | 5-16 | 0 | 1991 | 20 | NC |
19 | 刺槐盛花 P19 | 26 | 5-4 | -5 | 4-23 | -9 | 2010 | 5-18 | -1 | 1984 | 25 | NC |
20 | 柿始花 P20 | 24 | 5-14 | -2 | 5-6 | -3 | 2002 | 5-23 | -3 | 2010 | 25 | NC |
21 | 枣树始花 P21 | 17 | 5-25 | -3 | 5-20 | 2 | 2004 | 6-7 | 2 | 1991 | 17 | NC |
22 | 栾树始花 P22 | 18 | 6-2 | -2 | 5-26 | 2 | 2005, 2007 | 6-11 | 0 | 1984, 1985 | 18 | NC |
23 | 梧桐始花 P23 | 23 | 6-21 | -3 | 6-9 | -2 | 1993 | 7-4 | -3 | 1988 | 16 | NC |
24 | 紫薇始花 P24 | 22 | 7-5 | -8 | 6-3 | -31 | 2003 | 7-21 | 0 | 1987 | 25 | NC |
25 | 荷花盛花 P25 | 18 | 7-14 | -1 | 6-29 | -12 | 2004 | 7-26 | -15 | 1982 | 48 | NC |
26 | 荷花开花末期 P26 | 17 | 8-19 | -1 | 7-23 | -3 | 1985 | 8-30 | -28 | 2010 | 27 | NC |
27 | 野菊始花 P27 | 18 | 9-28 | 1 | 9-22 | 9 | 2003 | 10-7 | 4 | 1991 | 38 | NC |
28 | 白蜡树叶始变色 P28 | 25 | 9-29 | 4 | 9-12 | -6 | 1986 | 10-16 | 12 | 2010 | 15 | NC |
29 | 黄栌叶始变色 P29 | 17 | 10-12 | 1 | 9-25 | -4 | 1987 | 10-30 | -2 | 2010 | 33 | C |
30 | 枣叶始变色 P30 | 15 | 10-12 | 6 | 9-13 | -10 | 1985 | 10-24 | 1 | 2010 | 35 | NC |
31 | 色木槭叶始变色 P31 | 24 | 10-15 | 11 | 10-2 | 19 | 2003 | 10-26 | 11 | 2007 | 40 | C |
32 | 柿叶始变色 P32 | 24 | 10-16 | 17 | 10-3 | 21 | 1986 | 11-3 | 23 | 2005 | 24 | C |
33 | 紫丁香叶始变色 P33 | 23 | 10-16 | 10 | 9-30 | 16 | 1987 | 11-1 | 10 | 2008 | 31 | C |
34 | 白蜡树叶全变色 P34 | 24 | 10-20 | 4 | 10-10 | 10 | 1997 | 11-1 | 5 | 2006 | 32 | NC |
35 | 旱柳叶始变色 P35 | 25 | 10-28 | 5 | 10-20 | 30 | 1983 | 11-18 | 13 | 1987 | 22 | NC |
36 | 黄栌叶全变色 P36 | 18 | 10-27 | 2 | 10-20 | 11 | 2009 | 11-5 | -3 | 2006 | 29 | NC |
37 | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | 23 | 10-31 | 4 | 10-22 | 12 | 1985 | 11-12 | 10 | 2009 | 16 | NC |
38 | 白蜡树叶全落 P38 | 23 | 11-3 | 1 | 10-26 | 6 | 1986 | 11-14 | -1 | 2006 | 21 | NC |
39 | 梧桐叶全落 P39 | 23 | 11-9 | 0 | 10-30 | 0 | 1995, 1996 | 11-25 | -1 | 1992 | 17 | NC |
40 | 野菊普遍黄枯 P40 | 5 | 11-12 | 0 | 11-4 | 1 | 1986 | 11-21 | 2 | 1988 | 19 | C |
41 | 昆明湖开始结冰 P41 | 6 | 11-13 | -4 | 11-1 | 8 | 2009 | 11-20 | -13 | 1984, 1987 | 26 | C |
42 | 色木槭叶全落 P42 | 23 | 11-14 | 5 | 11-3 | 7 | 1993 | 12-1 | 9 | 2009 | 19 | C |
43 | 杏叶全落 P43 | 24 | 11-16 | 1 | 11-7 | 0 | 1996 | 11-28 | 7 | 2006 | 28 | C |
44 | 毛白杨叶全落 P44 | 22 | 11-19 | 0 | 11-7 | -1 | 1986 | 12-11 | 10 | 1992 | 21 | NC |
45 | 昆明湖完全封冻 P45 | 11 | 11-26 | -6 | 11-3 | -16 | 2009 | 12-15 | -4 | 2004 | 34 | C |
46 | 旱柳叶全落 P46 | 22 | 12-1 | 1 | 11-21 | -2 | 1983 | 12-10 | 1 | 2009 | 42 | C |
47 | 榆树芽开放 P47 | 12 | 2-26 | -2 | 2-13 | -5 | 2007 | 3-9 | -4 | 1981 | 19 | NC |
48 | 毛白杨芽开放 P48 | 26 | 3-2 | -5 | 2-10 | -19 | 2007 | 3-29 | 17 | 1984 | 47 | NC |
季节 Season | 各个季节开始日期物候指标 Phenological indicator of the first date of a season | 前第1个月 The first preceding month | 前第2个月 The second preceding month | 前第3个月 The third preceding month |
---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | -0.745** | -0.547** | -0.294 |
夏季 Summer | 刺槐盛花 P19 | -0.834** | -0.680** | -0.381** |
秋季 Autumn | 野菊始花 P27 | -0.082 | -0.103 | -0.24 |
冬季 Winter | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | 0.612** | 0.464** | 0.405** |
Table 3 Correlation coefficients between the first date of a season and mean air temperature of the preceding three months
季节 Season | 各个季节开始日期物候指标 Phenological indicator of the first date of a season | 前第1个月 The first preceding month | 前第2个月 The second preceding month | 前第3个月 The third preceding month |
---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | 昆明湖全解冻 P1 | -0.745** | -0.547** | -0.294 |
夏季 Summer | 刺槐盛花 P19 | -0.834** | -0.680** | -0.381** |
秋季 Autumn | 野菊始花 P27 | -0.082 | -0.103 | -0.24 |
冬季 Winter | 色木槭叶全变色 P37 | 0.612** | 0.464** | 0.405** |
季节 Season | 季节开始日期的差异 Difference in the first date of a season (d) | 前第1个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the first preceding month (℃) | 前第2个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the second preceding month (℃) | 前第3个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the third preceding month (℃) |
---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | -0.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
夏季 Summer | -3.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
秋季 Autumn | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
冬季 Winter | 6.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Table 4 Differences in the first date of a season and mean air temperature of preceding three months during 1981-2010 and 1963-1982
季节 Season | 季节开始日期的差异 Difference in the first date of a season (d) | 前第1个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the first preceding month (℃) | 前第2个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the second preceding month (℃) | 前第3个月平均气温的差异 Difference in mean air temperature of the third preceding month (℃) |
---|---|---|---|---|
春季 Spring | -0.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
夏季 Summer | -3.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
秋季 Autumn | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
冬季 Winter | 6.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
物候期 Phenophase | 观测年数 Year of observation (a) | 平均日期(月-日) Average date (month-day) | 回归系数 Regression coefficient | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
毛白杨始花 P3 | 38 | 3-18 | -2.989 | 0 |
杏芽开放期 P4 | 38 | 3-19 | -1.544 | 0.006 |
旱柳开始展叶 P6 | 40 | 3-31 | -2.234 | 0.001 |
连翘始花 P8 | 29 | 3-29 | -2.371 | 0.001 |
紫丁香展叶盛期 P12 | 40 | 4-8 | -3.389 | 0 |
紫丁香始花 P13 | 40 | 4-11 | -2.773 | 0 |
黄栌叶始变色 P29 | 25 | 10-12 | 2.648 | 0.156 |
枣叶始变色 P30 | 26 | 10-10 | 3.715 | 0.002 |
色木槭叶始变色 P31 | 39 | 10-11 | 5.393 | 0 |
柿叶始变色 P32 | 39 | 10-9 | 7.488 | 0 |
紫丁香叶始变色 P33 | 39 | 10-12 | 4.597 | 0 |
色木槭叶全落 P42 | 37 | 11-13 | 2.399 | 0.026 |
杏叶全落 P43 | 38 | 11-16 | 0.547 | 0.431 |
旱柳叶全落 P46 | 35 | 11-30 | 1.039 | 0.119 |
Table 5 Regression results of some phenophase and mean air temperature in the preceding month (1963-2010)
物候期 Phenophase | 观测年数 Year of observation (a) | 平均日期(月-日) Average date (month-day) | 回归系数 Regression coefficient | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
毛白杨始花 P3 | 38 | 3-18 | -2.989 | 0 |
杏芽开放期 P4 | 38 | 3-19 | -1.544 | 0.006 |
旱柳开始展叶 P6 | 40 | 3-31 | -2.234 | 0.001 |
连翘始花 P8 | 29 | 3-29 | -2.371 | 0.001 |
紫丁香展叶盛期 P12 | 40 | 4-8 | -3.389 | 0 |
紫丁香始花 P13 | 40 | 4-11 | -2.773 | 0 |
黄栌叶始变色 P29 | 25 | 10-12 | 2.648 | 0.156 |
枣叶始变色 P30 | 26 | 10-10 | 3.715 | 0.002 |
色木槭叶始变色 P31 | 39 | 10-11 | 5.393 | 0 |
柿叶始变色 P32 | 39 | 10-9 | 7.488 | 0 |
紫丁香叶始变色 P33 | 39 | 10-12 | 4.597 | 0 |
色木槭叶全落 P42 | 37 | 11-13 | 2.399 | 0.026 |
杏叶全落 P43 | 38 | 11-16 | 0.547 | 0.431 |
旱柳叶全落 P46 | 35 | 11-30 | 1.039 | 0.119 |
1 |
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