植物生态学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (6): 667-677.DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0498
收稿日期:
2021-12-29
接受日期:
2022-01-19
出版日期:
2022-06-20
发布日期:
2022-06-09
通讯作者:
李俊清
作者简介:
*(lijq@bjfu.edu.cn)基金资助:
ZHANG Jin-Feng1, GE Shu-Sen2, LIANG Jin-Hua2, LI Jun-Qing1,*()
Received:
2021-12-29
Accepted:
2022-01-19
Online:
2022-06-20
Published:
2022-06-09
Contact:
LI Jun-Qing
Supported by:
摘要:
该研究以分布于长白山阔叶红松林内的红松(Pinus koraiensis)种群为对象, 通过编制种群静态生命表, 计算数量动态指数, 绘制存活曲线、死亡率曲线和消失率曲线, 应用4个生存函数并引入谱分析和时间序列预测模型, 分析红松种群年龄结构, 揭示其天然更新过程及未来发展趋势, 以期为野生红松种群的保护和恢复提供科学依据。结果显示: 红松种群数量变化具有阶段性, 幼龄(I-III龄级)和成龄(VII-X龄级)个体数量多, 中龄(IV-VI龄级)和老龄(XI-XIV龄级)个体数量少, 形成明显间断的两个优势年龄分布区。种群存活曲线趋近于Deevey-Ⅲ型, 表明幼龄个体死亡率高。忽略外部干扰时的总体数量动态变化指数大于>0, 表明红松种群为增长型; 考虑未来外部干扰时的种群动态变化指数趋近于0, 结合死亡率和消失率曲线呈现出连续先增后降的复杂动态变化趋势, 可知该种群受外界随机干扰时增长不明显。生存函数分析显示, 红松种群具有前期锐减、中期稳定、后期衰退的特点。谱分析表明红松种群天然更新呈周期性波动。未来2、3、4、5、6、7、8、9、10个龄级时间后, 红松幼、中龄个体数逐渐减少, 而成、老龄个体数量将逐渐增加。幼龄个体死亡率高、生存空间和资源条件有限, 老龄个体生理衰老明显是限制红松种群增长的主要原因。建议加强幼龄个体的抚育工作, 提高其存活率和生存质量; 保护和改善生存环境, 从而促进红松种群的自然更新和恢复。
张金峰, 葛树森, 梁金花, 李俊清. 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群年龄结构与数量动态特征. 植物生态学报, 2022, 46(6): 667-677. DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0498
ZHANG Jin-Feng, GE Shu-Sen, LIANG Jin-Hua, LI Jun-Qing. Population age structure and dynamics of Pinus koraiensis in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain, China. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2022, 46(6): 667-677. DOI: 10.17521/cjpe.2021.0498
龄级 Age class (x) | 径级 DBH class (cm) | Ax | ax | lx | dx | qx | Lx | Tx | ex | lnlx | Kx | Sx |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | 0-5 | 30 | 51 | 1 000 | 196 | 0.20 | 902 | 4 971 | 4.97 | 6.91 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
II | 5-10 | 52 | 41 | 804 | 196 | 0.24 | 706 | 4 069 | 5.06 | 6.69 | 0.28 | 0.76 |
III | 10-15 | 41 | 31 | 608 | 137 | 0.23 | 539 | 3 422 | 5.63 | 6.41 | 0.26 | 0.84 |
IV | 15-20 | 23 | 24 | 471 | 39 | 0.08 | 451 | 2 882 | 6.13 | 6.15 | 0.09 | 0.91 |
V | 20-25 | 14 | 22 | 431 | 39 | 0.09 | 412 | 2 431 | 5.64 | 6.07 | 0.10 | 0.90 |
VI | 25-30 | 11 | 20 | 392 | 39 | 0.10 | 373 | 2 020 | 5.15 | 5.97 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
VII | 30-35 | 15 | 18 | 353 | 39 | 0.11 | 333 | 1 647 | 4.67 | 5.87 | 0.12 | 0.88 |
VIII | 35-40 | 19 | 16 | 314 | 39 | 0.13 | 294 | 1 313 | 4.19 | 5.75 | 0.13 | 0.87 |
IX | 40-45 | 19 | 14 | 275 | 39 | 0.14 | 255 | 1 020 | 3.71 | 5.61 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
X | 45-50 | 23 | 12 | 235 | 39 | 0.17 | 216 | 765 | 3.25 | 5.46 | 0.18 | 0.86 |
XI | 50-55 | 10 | 10 | 196 | 19 | 0.10 | 186 | 549 | 2.80 | 5.28 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
XII | 55-60 | 9 | 9 | 176 | 19 | 0.11 | 167 | 363 | 2.06 | 5.17 | 0.12 | 0.82 |
XIII | 60-65 | 8 | 8 | 157 | 39 | 0.25 | 137 | 196 | 1.25 | 5.06 | 0.29 | 0.43 |
XIV | >65 | 6 | 6 | 118 | - | - | 59 | - | - | 4.77 | - | - |
表1 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群静态生命表
Table 1 Static life table of Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain
龄级 Age class (x) | 径级 DBH class (cm) | Ax | ax | lx | dx | qx | Lx | Tx | ex | lnlx | Kx | Sx |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | 0-5 | 30 | 51 | 1 000 | 196 | 0.20 | 902 | 4 971 | 4.97 | 6.91 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
II | 5-10 | 52 | 41 | 804 | 196 | 0.24 | 706 | 4 069 | 5.06 | 6.69 | 0.28 | 0.76 |
III | 10-15 | 41 | 31 | 608 | 137 | 0.23 | 539 | 3 422 | 5.63 | 6.41 | 0.26 | 0.84 |
IV | 15-20 | 23 | 24 | 471 | 39 | 0.08 | 451 | 2 882 | 6.13 | 6.15 | 0.09 | 0.91 |
V | 20-25 | 14 | 22 | 431 | 39 | 0.09 | 412 | 2 431 | 5.64 | 6.07 | 0.10 | 0.90 |
VI | 25-30 | 11 | 20 | 392 | 39 | 0.10 | 373 | 2 020 | 5.15 | 5.97 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
VII | 30-35 | 15 | 18 | 353 | 39 | 0.11 | 333 | 1 647 | 4.67 | 5.87 | 0.12 | 0.88 |
VIII | 35-40 | 19 | 16 | 314 | 39 | 0.13 | 294 | 1 313 | 4.19 | 5.75 | 0.13 | 0.87 |
IX | 40-45 | 19 | 14 | 275 | 39 | 0.14 | 255 | 1 020 | 3.71 | 5.61 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
X | 45-50 | 23 | 12 | 235 | 39 | 0.17 | 216 | 765 | 3.25 | 5.46 | 0.18 | 0.86 |
XI | 50-55 | 10 | 10 | 196 | 19 | 0.10 | 186 | 549 | 2.80 | 5.28 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
XII | 55-60 | 9 | 9 | 176 | 19 | 0.11 | 167 | 363 | 2.06 | 5.17 | 0.12 | 0.82 |
XIII | 60-65 | 8 | 8 | 157 | 39 | 0.25 | 137 | 196 | 1.25 | 5.06 | 0.29 | 0.43 |
XIV | >65 | 6 | 6 | 118 | - | - | 59 | - | - | 4.77 | - | - |
VI | VII | VIII | VIV | VV | VVI | VVII | VVIII | VIX | VX | VXI | VXII | VXIII | Vpi | V′pi |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-42.31 | 21.15 | 43.90 | 39.13 | 21.43 | -26.67 | -21.05 | 0 | -17.39 | 56.52 | 10.00 | 11.11 | 25.00 | 13.11 | 0.12 |
表2 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群动态变化指数
Table 2 Dynamic indices of Pinus koraiensis population (%) in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain
VI | VII | VIII | VIV | VV | VVI | VVII | VVIII | VIX | VX | VXI | VXII | VXIII | Vpi | V′pi |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-42.31 | 21.15 | 43.90 | 39.13 | 21.43 | -26.67 | -21.05 | 0 | -17.39 | 56.52 | 10.00 | 11.11 | 25.00 | 13.11 | 0.12 |
图2 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群死亡率(qx)和消失率(Kx)曲线。龄级同表1。
Fig. 2 Curves of mortality rate (qx) and vanish rate (Kx) for Pinus koraiensis population in broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain. Age class see Table 1.
图3 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群存活曲线。龄级同表1。
Fig. 3 Survival curves of Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain. Age class see Table 1.
存活曲线类型 Type | 拟合模型 Test model | 方程 Equation | R2 | F | p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deevey-II | ax = a0e-bx | ax = 7.742e-0.038x | 0.623 | 18.918 | 0.001 |
Deevey-III | ax = a0x-b | ax = 1.496x-0.853 | 0.718 | 30.505 | 0.000 |
表3 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群存活曲线的检验模型
Table 3 Statistical test model for two survival curves of Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain
存活曲线类型 Type | 拟合模型 Test model | 方程 Equation | R2 | F | p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deevey-II | ax = a0e-bx | ax = 7.742e-0.038x | 0.623 | 18.918 | 0.001 |
Deevey-III | ax = a0x-b | ax = 1.496x-0.853 | 0.718 | 30.505 | 0.000 |
图4 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群生存率(Si)和累计死亡率(Fi)曲线。龄级同表1。
Fig. 4 Curves of survival rate (Si) and cumulative mortality rate (Fi) for Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain. Age class see Table 1.
图5 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群死亡密度(fti)与危险率(λti)曲线。龄级同表1。
Fig. 5 Mortality density (fti) and hazard rate curves (λti) of Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain. Age class see Table 1.
谐波 Resonance spectra | A0 | A1 | A2 | A3 | A4 | A5 | A6 | A7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
振幅值 Amplitude value | 3.18 | 1.73 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
表4 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群的周期性波动
Table 4 Periodic fluctuation of Pinus koraiensis population in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain
谐波 Resonance spectra | A0 | A1 | A2 | A3 | A4 | A5 | A6 | A7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
振幅值 Amplitude value | 3.18 | 1.73 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
龄级 Age class | >初始个体数 Initial number of individuals | Mt | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | M7 | M8 | M9 | M10 | ||||||||||
I | 30 | |||||||||||||||||
II | 52 | 41 | ||||||||||||||||
III | 41 | 47 | 41 | |||||||||||||||
IV | 23 | 32 | 39 | 37 | ||||||||||||||
V | 14 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 32 | |||||||||||||
VI | 11 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 28 | 29 | ||||||||||||
VII | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 21 | 26 | 27 | |||||||||||
VIII | 19 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 25 | 26 | ||||||||||
IX | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 25 | |||||||||
X | 23 | 21 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 25 | ||||||||
XI | 10 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 23 | ||||||||
XII | 9 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 18 | ||||||||
XIII | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | ||||||||
XIV | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
表5 长白山阔叶红松林红松种群数量动态时间序列预测
Table 5 The prediction number of Pinus koraiensis population by using time sequence analysis in a broadleaved Korean pine forest in Changbai Mountain
龄级 Age class | >初始个体数 Initial number of individuals | Mt | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | M7 | M8 | M9 | M10 | ||||||||||
I | 30 | |||||||||||||||||
II | 52 | 41 | ||||||||||||||||
III | 41 | 47 | 41 | |||||||||||||||
IV | 23 | 32 | 39 | 37 | ||||||||||||||
V | 14 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 32 | |||||||||||||
VI | 11 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 28 | 29 | ||||||||||||
VII | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 21 | 26 | 27 | |||||||||||
VIII | 19 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 25 | 26 | ||||||||||
IX | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 25 | |||||||||
X | 23 | 21 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 25 | ||||||||
XI | 10 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 23 | ||||||||
XII | 9 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 18 | ||||||||
XIII | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | ||||||||
XIV | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
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